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Non-Nevada casino minimums (COVID edition) part 5
If you are reporting about a casino, could you please try to include the following:
Name of the casino
Where it's located
What time of day and is it a weekday or weekend?
Max odds
Field pays
Side bets available (Repeater, ATS, Firebet)
Are there dividers or how many are shooting per side
The more information we have, the better off we will be. We all know that tables can change rapidly. I saw a table go from 25 to 15 to 100 at the Flamingo in the course of a few hours. I'll try to keep the mins what is reported the most and add other information in the comments like "found this table at $5 on graveyard shift" so people konw that isn't the norm These tables can be a pain to maintain, so please provide as much information as possible. An informed roller is a beter roller.
OtherNV Casnio
WeekDay Min
WeekNight Min
WeekendMin
WeeknightMin
MaxOdds
Field Pay
Sidebet
Dividers/Per Side
Last Update
Comments
Wind Creek (Wetumpka, AL)
15
25
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
4 to a table
7/31
Sycuan (San Diego, CA)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Barona (So Cal)
10
15
10
10-15
5X
2 Dub 3 Trip
Fire/Sharpshooter
2 per side
10/2
dealers managing bets for players. ($10 at times) - Digital table . $10, double the field with Hot Shooter Bet.
Harrahs (So Cal)
15-25
15-25
15-50
15-50
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
No
7/31
Ameristar (Black Hawk, CO)
10
10
15
15
10X
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
10/12
Colorado law, max bet $100
Golden Gates (Black Hawk, CO)
10
10
10
10
20X
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
10/12
Colorado law, max bet $100
Monarch (Black Hawk, CO)
10
10
15
15
10X
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
10/12
Colorado law, max bet $100
Saratoga (Black Hawk, CO)
10
10
10
10
20X
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
10/12
Colorado law, max bet $100
The Lodge (Black Hawk, CO)
10
10
10
10
10X
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
10/12
Colorado law, max bet $100
Foxwoods (CT)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
4/side
8/22
Mohegan (CT)
15-25
25
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Harrington (DE)
15
15-25
25
25
10X
Unknown
Firebet
2/side
10/1
Rivers (Chicago, IL)
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
8/2
Blue Chip (Michigan City, IN)
5
10
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
ATS
Unknown
5 minimum prop bets, 5 min ATS bet.
Caesars Southern IN
10
15
15
25
Unknown
ATS & Fire
Unknown
Unknown
11/15
French Lick Resort (French Lick, IN)
15
15
25
25
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
8/5
Tables open at 11am and close at 3AM.
Harrah's Hooiser Park (Anderson, IN)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Hollywood Larenceburg (Larenceburg, IN)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Sharp/Lucky Shooter
Unknown
Unknown
4/side
11/15
Indiana Grand (IN)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
No
Hollywood casino Lawrenceburg (IN)
10-15
10 -15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Rivers (Chcago, IL)
10
15
Belle (Baton Rogue, LA)
5
10
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
one half sized table sometimes they open the big one. $5 small table and $10 big late at night
Hollywood (Baton Rogue, LA)
5
10
Unknown
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
7/24
L’auberge (Baton Rogue,LA)
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
No
8/2
L’auberge (Lake Charles,LA)
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
No
8/2
El Dorado (Shreveport, LA)
10
10
10
10
100X
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
8/17
Horseshoe (Shreveport, LA) 15
15
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
8/17
Margaritaville (Shreveport, LA) 15
15
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
8/17
Sams Town (Shreveport, LA)
10
10
10
10
20X
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
10/10
Ocean Downs (MD)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
8/17
Maryland Live (MD)
25
50
50
100
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Yes, 4 per side
9/6
Electronic craps 15 min
MGM @ National Harbor
50-100
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Yes
No bubble craps or low roller options.
Firekeepers (Battle Creek, MI)
10
15+
15
25
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
No
8/17
$3 Bubble Craps.
Four Winds Casino (New Buffalo, MI)
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Digital craps table 5$ min
Gun Lake (Wayland, MI)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
No
No
MGM Grand Detroit (Detroit, MI)
15
25
unknown
unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Yes
Turtle Creek (Traverse City, MI)
5
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Soaring Eagle (Mt Pleasant, MI)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Yes, 5 per side
Hollywood Casino, Maryland Heights (St Louis) MO
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
4 per side
River City (St. Louis, MS)
20
20
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown 4 players per side
You have to have at least a $20 bet for every throw to "hold your spot"
Report your table minimums here (COVID Edition) part 3
Part 3 in the COVID series. To try and make this list more helpful, I have added Weekend Day and Weekend Night, as those can be vastly different than during the week. I'm trying to monitor Twitter and the Vegas Message Board to get some additional information. Keep sharing all that wonderful goodness. I'd like to update the wiki to talk about what sidebets casinos have, so if you know that info, I can add it to the table comments.
Vegas Strip Casino
Day Min
Night Min
Weekend Day
Weekend Night
Dividers
Comments
Aria
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
No
Updated 7/26
Ballys
10
15
10
Unknown
3 tables Updated 8/8
Bellagio
10
25
Unknown
Unknown
Yes, all tables
Caesars
15
25
Unknown
Unknown
No
Cosmo
15-25
50-100
Unknown
Unknown
Encore
10
10
10
10
Yes, on some tables
Updated 8/12
Excalibur
10-15
15
10
15
Updated 8/12
Flamingo
15
15-25
Unknown
25
Updated 8/8
Harrah's
15
25
25
25
No
Linq
15
15
Unknown
25
No
Updated 8/8
Luxor
10
10
15
15n
Updated 8/12
Mandalay Bay
15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
MGM Grand
10
25
Unknown
Unknown
Yes
NY/NY
10
15-25
15
Unknown
Yes
Updated 8/8
Osheas
Unknown
15
Unknown
Unknown
Paris
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
No
Updated 8/8
Sahara
5
10
10
10
Updated 8/15
Strat
Day
10
Unknown
10
25
No
Treasure Island
5
15
Unknown
Unknown
Venetian
10-15
25
Unknown
Unknown
No
Wynn
10
10
10
10
Yes, on some tables
Updated 8/12
Downtown Casino
Day Min
Night Min
Weekend Day
Weekend Night
Dividers
Comments
Binions
5
10
Unknown
Unknown
Binions had $5 table several times (opens at noon) Updated 8/17
California
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Tables open at 11AM Updated 8/10
The D
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
No glass
Downtown Grand
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Table opens at noon. Updated 8/10.
El Cortez
10
10
10
10
Yes, some tables
2 tables Updated 8/15
Four Queens
10
10
10
10
No
Updated 8/15
Fremont
10
10
10
Unknown
Updated 8/10.
Golden Gate
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
Updated 8/18
Golden Nugget
10-15
10
Unknown
Unknown
$15 with one table open on 8/18
Plaza
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Updated 7/30
Sams Town
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
1 table
Offstrip Casino
Day Min
Night Min
Weekend Day
Weekend Night
Dividers
Comments
Aliente
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Boulder Station
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Cannery
5
5
Unknown
Unknown
up to 2 tables - now allowing 4 per side
Ellis Island
5
5
5
5
1 table - Updated 8/17 - I just called the pit at Ellis. Craps table opens up at 10am and its 5 dollars 90% of the time
Gold Coast
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Green Valley Ranch
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
2 tables open
The Orleans
10
25
Unknown
Unknown
up to 4 tables, I was asked to wear a mask
Palace Station
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Palms
N/A
N/A
Unknown
Unknown
No open date announced
Red Rock
10
15
15
Unknown
Updated 8/14
South Point
5
5
5
10
No
Updated 8/15
Strat
5
10
Unknown
Unknown
Sunset Station
5
5
Unknown
Unknown
Other NV Casinos
Day Min
Night Min
Weekend Day
Weekend Night
Dividers
Comments
Edgewater (Laughlin)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Harrahs (Laughlin)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
no
Atlantis (Reno)
5/10
5/10
Unknown
Unknown
3 tables on weekends
Cal Neva (Reno)
5
5
Unknown
Unknown
Circus Circus (Reno)
Closed
Closed
Unknown
Unknown
Closed table game pit
Eldorado (Reno)
5
10
Unknown
Unknown
Grand Sierra (Reno)
15
15-25 Unknown
Unknown
Peppermill (Reno)
5
5
10
10
3 craps tables
Silver Legacy (Reno)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Hard Rock (Tahoe)
5
5
Unknown
Unknown
Harrahs (Tahoe)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Montbleu (Tahoe)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
Nugget (Wendover)
5
5
5
5
Updated 7/31
Peppermill (Wendover)
5
5
10
10
Updated 7/31
Rainbow (Wendover)
5
5
10
10
Updated 7/31
Non/NV Casino
Day Min
Night Min
Weekend Day
Weekend Night
Dividers
Comments
Wind Creek (Wetumpka, AL)
15
25
Unknown
Unknown
4 to a table Updated 7/31
Sycuan (San Diego, CA)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Masks required
Barona (So Cal)
10
15
10
10-15
2 tables 2 per side, dealers managing bets for players. Updated 8/21 ($10 at times)
Harrahs (So Cal)
15-25
15-25
15-50
15-50
No
Updated 7/31
Viejas (So Cal)
N/A
N/A
Unknown
Unknown
No live tables
Foxwoods (CT)
15
25
Unknown
Unknown
Mohegan (CT)
15-25
25
Unknown
Unknown
2 were 10, 2
Harrington (DE)
15
15-25
Unknown
Unknown
Must wear mask and face shield
Rivers (Chicago, IL)
15
15
Blue Chip (Michigan City, IN)
5
10
Unknown
Unknown
5 minimum prop bets, 5 min ATS bet.
Caesars Southern IN
10
15
15
25
Updated 8/5
French Lick Resort (French Lick, IN)
15
15
25
25
Tables open at 11am and close at 3AM. Updated 8/5
Harrah's Hooiser Park (Anderson, IN)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Indiana Grand (IN)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
No
Belle (Baton Rogue, LA)
5
10
Unknown
Unknown
one half sized table sometimes they open the big one. $5 small table and $10 big late at night
Hollywood (Baton Rogue, LA)
5
10
Unknown
15
Updated 7/24
L’auberge (Baton Rogue,LA)
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
No
L’auberge (Lake Charles,LA)
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
No
1 bubble craps $5 min
El Dorado (Shreveport, LA)
10
10
10
10
Updated 8/17
Horseshoe (Shreveport, LA) 15
15
15
15
Updated 8/17
Margaritaville (Shreveport, LA) 15
15
15
15
Updated 8/17
Ocean Downs (MD)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
Maryland Live (MD)
25
50
50
Unknown
Yes
5 tables, 4 per side. Electronic craps 15 min
MGM @ National Harbor
50-100
Unknown
Unknown
Yes
4 craps tables 2 were $50 and 2 were $100 mins. Not bubble craps or low roller options.
Firekeepers (Battle Creek, MI)
10
15+
Unknown
Unknown
No dividers, only distancing
1-2 tables depending on demand, did see it at $15 during the day $25 on Fri/Sat night. Masks required, no smoking. $3 Bubble Craps.
Four Winds Casino
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
Digital craps table 5$ min Tuesday and Sunday night. Did not check bubble craps
Gun Lake (Wayland, MI)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
No
Temp check, masks, usually the crapless table is open
Turtle Creek (Traverse City, MI)
5
Unknown
Unknown
Unknowned
2 tables, temp check, masks
Soaring Eagle (Mt Pleasant, MI)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
Yes
5 players per side with glass. Tough to hear dealer.
Hollywood Casino, Maryland Heights (St Louis) MO
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
1 regular table & 1 no craps. 4 per side. No outside drinks.
River City (St. Louis, MS)
20
20
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
4 players per side. $20 min. You have to have at least a $20 bet for every throw to "hold your spot"
Beau Rivage (Biloxi, MS)
25
25
Unknown
Unknown
unknown
3 tables
Boomtown (Biloxi, MS)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
1 table
IP (Biloxi, MS)
25
25
Unknown
Unknown
Scarlett Pearl (Biloxi, MS)
15
25
Unknown
Unknown
No
Masks required, temp check
The Palace Biloxi, MS)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
Treasure Bay (Biloxi, MS)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Harrah’s Cherokee & Murphy
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
No
Harrahs River Valley (Murphy, NC)
25
25
Unknown
Unknown
Ballys (AC, NJ)
15
15
Unknown
10
Updated 7/29
Caesars (AC, NJ)
15
15
Unknown
15-25
Updated 7/29
Harrahs (AC, NJ)
15
15
Unknown
Unknown
Hard Rock (AC, NJ
15
25
Unknown
Unknown
2 tables - Updated 7-29
Resorts (AC, NJ)
15
25
Unknown
15
Yes
1 table - Updated 7-29
Ocean (AC, NJ)
10
15
15
25
Yes
4-6 tables
Buffalo Creek (NY)
15
25
Unknown
Unknown
Seneca Niagra (NY)
10
15
Unknown
Unknown
1 table, can go up to $25
Jack/Harrah's (Cincinnati, OH)
25
25
25
25
3 tables, $25 open to close
Hollywood (Columbus, OH)
10-15
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
2 tables, masks required
Hollywood (Grantville, PA)
15
25
Unknown Unknown
Unknown
2 tables, masks required
Harrah's Philly (PA)
Unknown
Unknown
15
25
Updated 8/10
Meadows (PA)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
2-3 tables.
Mohegan Sun (PA)
Unknown
Unknown
25-50
Unknown
Windcreek (PA)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Mount airy (PA)
10
10
Unknown
Unknown
Valley Forge (PA)
10
Parx (Bensalem, PA)
15
25
Unknown
Unknown
15 but maintaining 25
Southland Casino Racing (West Memphis, TN)
N/A
N/A
Unknown
Unknown
Yes
4 tables all closed. Other pit games open with plexiglas dividers. Bubble craps $5 minimum.
Mardi Gras (Nitro, WV)
15
Usually open on weekends - Updated 7/28
*Last update 8/21 Part 1. It's getting buried so I figured we would make a new one. Part 2 Pulled additional info from here.
John Gilbride Jr.-murdered on September 7, 2002 in Maple Shade, New Jersey- “He's been raised by MOVE his whole life. I hope when he gets older, he'll ask questions. I want him to know that his father fought for him.”
The execution-style murder of former MOVE member, 34 year old John Gilbride Jr., in Maple Shade, New Jersey on September 27, 2002 remains unsolved. MOVE is a black liberation group founded in 1972 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania by John Africa (born Vincent Leaphart) and Donald Glassey, a social worker student from the University of Pennsylvania. In a 2018 Guardian article about the group, MOVE's political views were described as "a strange fusion of black power and flower power which melded the revolutionary ideology of the Black Panthers with the nature- and animal-loving communalism of 1960s hippies.” John’s father, Jack, believes the organization has “blood on its hands” and had his son followed after he fled the movement. Alberta Africa (now Wonderlin), John’s ex-wife and the ex-wife of MOVE founder John Africa, claims that John is alive and “forgoing any contact with the son he was fighting for in court for a life of seclusion, courtesy of the U.S. government” surmising “maybe he went off the deep end or something and is hiding somewhere….he seemed like he was deeply involved in the government.” Jack stated that it is hurtful Alberta still makes those kinds of statements since he identified his son's body, attended his funeral, and buried his cremated remains saying he “could only wish…she knows more than anyone else that it isn't true." According to the Burlington County Prosecutor’s office, the case is still an open investigation. John, a baggage supervisor for U.S. Airways, was found dead inside his Ford Crown Victoria at 12:08 a.m. outside the Ryan's Run apartment complex in Maple Shade, New Jersey. The killer fired multiple bullets into John’s head and chest at close range from an automatic weapon after which the individual then disappeared into the highways adjacent to the apartment complex leaving behind John’s personal belongings. Police believe the killer knew his schedule because “they were there at the perfect time” noting they shot him just as he was coming home from work late at night and “the purpose was to take his life, nothing else.” John was scheduled to have his first unsupervised visit with his 6- year old son Zackary later the next day-a visit that Jack claims Alberta and other MOVE members had threatened to stop. After a Philadelphia judge decided that John should have unsupervised time with Zackary, MOVE vowed to fight the order and boarded up windows at its Philadelphia headquarters. They also held a rally at the Cherry Hill municipal building protesting the custody order saying the judge’s order was “an attempt to persecute the group and that Cherry Hill police were helping.” John had mentioned to his father that he felt his life was at risk and he knew “he was taking a big gamble.” Before Alberta married John, she was the widow of John Africa, founder and leader of the controversial radical group MOVE. John Africa and 5 other adults and 5 children died in May 1985 when Philadelphia police dropped a bomb on MOVE’s Osage Avenue rowhouse headquarters after a day-long standoff. Given the group's turbulent history, Alberta said police would have arrested MOVE members by now for John’s death if they had evidence saying “we are not murderers.” John first learned about MOVE as a student at Temple University in the late 1980s and later joined the organization. During one of John's visits from college, Jack suspected John was under a "new influence" as during a drive around the neighborhood, John mused "this is nothing...these big houses, this money, it doesn't mean anything; this surprised Jack as John's "goal in life had always been to become a millionaire and drive a Cadillac." In 1991, John announced he was going to live in MOVE's headquarters and seeing that they could nothing to dissuade him, Jack decided to "keep communication open and maintain whatever relationship John would allow them" using an 800 number to keep in contact. In the fall of 1992, John married Alberta, who was twice his age, against his family's wishes; the family, nonetheless, felt the wedding should be celebrated so they all went to dinner at Ruth's Chris Steakhouse in Philadelphia. Jack noted that "at no time did we sympathize with MOVE but in order to have a relationship with John, we did what we had to do." The name of the group (MOVE) is not an acronym and was chosen by John Africa “to say what they intended to do” as in "everything that's alive moves…if it didn't, it would be stagnant, dead"; as an example, when members greet each other they say "on the MOVE.". The group combined revolutionary ideology with animal rights and “advocated a return to a hunter-gatherer society” based on vegetarianism while remaining “opposed to science, medicine, and technology.” John’s followers changed their surnames to Africa to “show reverence to what they regarded as their mother continent.” John Africa and MOVE members lived in a communal house in the Powelton Village section of West Philadelphia. As activists, they staged bullhorn-amplified, profanity-laced demonstrations outside their homes against institutions that they opposed, such as zoos, circuses, “Three Mile Island”, “puppy mills” and police brutality. MOVE made compost piles of garbage and human waste in their yards which attracted rats and cockroaches that they refused to kill as they "considered it morally wrong to kill the vermin with pest control.” MOVE activities were scrutinized by law enforcement particularly under the administration of Philadelphia Mayor Frank Rizzo, a former police commissioner known for hard stance against activist groups. Mayor Rizzo threatened in 1978 to dispatch his Police Department to MOVE's Powelton Village headquarters "to drag 'em out by the back of their necks." In 1978, complaints from neighbors about "profanity-laced tirades, arms stockpiling, garbage piled in the yard, and naked children" led to a standoff with members of the group who had not vacated their rowhouse headquarters; a resulting shootout took the life of a police officer and put nine MOVE members in prison for life. In 1981, MOVE relocated to a row house at 6221 Osage Avenue in the Cobbs Creek area of West Philadelphia. Neighbors again complained to the city about trash around their building, confrontations, and the obscene political messages by bullhorn. In 1985, the police obtained arrest warrants in 1985 charging four MOVE occupants with crimes including parole violations, contempt of court, illegal possession of firearms, and making terrorist threats; by now, Mayor Wilson Goode and police commissioner Gregore J. Sambor had classified the group as a terrorist organization. Residents of the area were evacuated from the neighborhood and told to return after 24 hours. On Monday, May 13, 1985, nearly five hundred police officers attempted to clear the building and execute the arrest warrants. Water and electricity were shut off in order to force MOVE members out of the house and Commissioner Sambor exhorted them to come out stating "Attention MOVE: This is America. You have to abide by the laws of the United States." When the MOVE members did not respond, the police decided to forcibly remove the members from the house. There was an armed standoff with police who lobbed tear gas canisters at the building. The MOVE members fired at them, and a gunfight with semi-automatic and automatic firearms ensued. Police went through over ten thousand rounds of ammunition when Commissioner Sambor decided the rowhouse could be bombed. From a Pennsylvania State Police helicopter, Philadelphia Police Department Lt. Frank Powell dropped two one-pound bombs made of FBI-supplied Tovex, a dynamite substitute, which targeted a fortified, bunker-like cubicle on the roof of the house. The resulting explosions ignited a fire from fuel for a gasoline-powered generator stored in the rooftop bunker. The fire spread and eventually destroyed 61 nearby houses. Officials said they feared that MOVE would shoot at the firefighters so they were held back. John Africa and 5 other adults and 5 children died. There were only two survivors; a child, Birdie Africa and an adult woman, Ramona Africa. John Gilbride eventually left the movement and filed for divorce from Alberta in 1999 which led to years of heated court battles over custody of Zackary; John also filed for bankruptcy. John had gone deep into debt paying for in-vitro fertility treatments as they were desperately trying to have a child. John had also grown frustrated with "MOVE's meddling in his marriage" which "staged hours-long interventions" whenever the couple argued. According to Jack, the timing of the murder and the custody dispute is “more than a coincidence.” Philadelphia Police Captain William Fisher, the head of the department’s civil rights division who knows the MOVE leaders well, stated that John’s murder “seemed like a textbook mob hit” and John had a gambling problem and other enemies as well; Jack dismisses Captain Fisher’s claims saying he did a "disservice to the investigation" and “was simply trying to ease the department’s relationship with MOVE”. Captain Fisher continues to doubt that MOVE was involved saying Jack wants to think that “MOVE did it because it solves his problem…I’m a parent too, and it’s an emotional thing.” He believes a professional gunman could have known of John’s problems with MOVE and could have timed the murder accordingly saying if MOVE was involved, they would not have “outsourced the job to someone outside their organization.” He acknowledges “there was a lot of rhetoric and everything else, but keep it in perspective, it's a child custody thing” saying MOVE's members "defend themselves when needed but do not go out and kill people." Captain Fisher suggested a trip to Las Vegas a few days before his death needed to be looked into further; Jack avers John went to Las Vegas for an Earth, Wind, and Fire concert. John also had a "secret..and brief" second marriage to Rosario Bienvenida Arias-a 24-year-old casino dealer from the Dominican Republic. They married in Maryland on April 25, 2002, but, according to the annulment initiated by John May 19,2002, "she used him and then fled the country." The marriage had not been "nullified by the time John died, so as his widow, Rosario-not Zack-collected death benefits." Others disagree such as former MOVE supporter Tony Allen who runs an anti-MOVE blog; he believes MOVE would never have put someone in their closest family circles at risk by killing John and would have given that task to a supporter saying “my hope is that there's people in and about MOVE whose consciences will eat away at them." Burlington County Prosecutor Robert Bernardi mentioned that MOVE members had been questioned in the investigation but did not comment further. In 2012 the Philadelphia Inquirer reported that John had told friends and family that he had recorded incriminating evidence in a notebook as "security against a hit" by MOVE. John said he had placed the notebook inside a locker for safekeeping. Jack confirmed one of John’s coworkers had contacted him and he tried to get police to search the locker but to no avail. At the time, Prosecutor Bernardi had no comment when pressed on the topic. It is unclear if the locker was ever searched. In a 2009 news article, Jack mentioned that he continues to speak with investigators every three weeks but acknowledged "they get tired of telling me there's nothing new." Zackary, at the time 13 years old, was “a happy home-schooled teen, active in swimming and fencing.” In the interview, Alberta admitted that her son continues to miss his father recalling how they “found a picture of his dad, and he just fell into me..he's a big boy, but he was in tears. She also says "the tears she cried for John were real in 2002" and she continues to feels his absence noting that she remarried after John’s death, “not out of love, but to give her son a stable home.” Jack said “his life has been anything but stable” since his son's death. His wife, Fran, died of cancer two years after his son was killed, and he speaks to Zack only once every three to six months. He knows that “wishing his son were still alive is pointless” so he focuses on resolving the case so Zack can come back into his life saying “he's been raised by MOVE his whole life. I hope when he gets older, he'll ask questions. I want him to know that his father fought for him." Anyone with information about John’s murder can contact the Burlington County Prosecutor's Office at 609-265- 7113. Questions: Do we know more about John's gambling debts and other enemies he supposedly had? There is much discussion on the MOVE angle but I really couldn't find much information on any other theories besides the statement made by Captain Fisher. Was John's locker ever searched? Links: https://www.inquirer.com/philly/news/20090926_Slaying_of_ex-MOVEr_still_roils_feelings_7_years_later.html https://www.theintelligencer.com/news/article/Man-in-Custody-Battle-Shot-to-Death-10572580.php https://www.inquirer.com/philly/blogs/inq-blinq/A-clue-hidden-in-a-lost-locker.html https://www.inquirer.com/philly/hp/news_update/20140928_A_slain_man__a_lost_son_and_a_grandfather_s_quest.html https://culteducation.com/group/1060-move/14601-breaking-silence-over-a-sons-slaying.html https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MOVE#2002_murder_of_John_Gilbride http://antimove.blogspot.com/2012/09/?m=1 https://www.religionnewsblog.com/4623/unsolved-death-angers-move-grieves-parents https://www.vox.com/the-highlight/2019/8/8/20747198/philadelphia-bombing-1985-move https://www.inquirer.com/philly/entertainment/20131020_A_haunting_look_at_when_Phila__burned.html https://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/02/movies/let-the-fire-burn-relives-1985-siege-of-the-move-group.html https://www.phillymag.com/news/2014/02/27/birdie-africa-lost-boy/ http://kalamu.com/neogriot/2015/05/13/history-lest-we-forget-today-is-the-30th-anniversary-of-the-bombing-of-move/ MOVE has been “an anomaly in Philadelphia ever since it was founded, in the mid-1970s, by a white graduate student who became enthralled with the musings of a local black handyman who took the name John Africa and held beliefs ranging from vegetarianism to odd bathing rituals to preparation for worldwide racial conflict.” Several city officials were reprimanded in an investigation which called “dropping a bomb on an occupied row house…unconscionable” but none were criminally charged for the bombing. The 61 destroyed homes were rebuilt with government funds ($35 milion) but the houses were eventually condemned since a potential carbon monoxide leak was found in the heating systems. In 2000, the city paid again to buy out the residents and move them. Ramona Africa, the only adult who came out of the house fire alive (along with 13-year old Birdie Africa), served seven years in prison for her role in the confrontation. As she stood outside MOVE's current house in 2013, she dismissed the notion that the home had code violations stating “they say it is a fire hazard but the only fire MOVE has ever been involved with is the one the city of Philadelphia set on May 13, 1985."
bathrobeDFS - Daily Analysis for December 27th and Review of December 26th
Hello, everyone! bathrobeDFS here with your daily basketball article. First, I will breakdown my lineup for yesterday’s main slate. Then I will go over tonight’s slate from the perspective of a one lineup player on Draftkings. If you like this information, I provide additional updates, information, and stats on my twitter @bathrobeDFS. Feel free to throw me a follow cause it’s much easier and more timely to provide updates over that medium. Yesterday In Review: So over the last few days, I have been approached by a few people that asked me to start something called a Patreon and get onto something called Venmo in case they or anyone else wanted to “tip” me or what have you. I was hesitant to do something like that, but he told me it was akin to tipping your dealer at the casino. Ultimately, that argument won me over. So, while I can flatly say I do not expect anything, (nor am I trying to ask for anything by doing this), I have started both. If you are interested, you can check www.patreon.com/bathrobeDFS and www.venmo.com/bathrobeDFS. I hope this isn’t considered bad form, and if you don’t want me advertising this, I understand and I apologize. I hope you all don’t think anything less of me. The other thing I did yesterday was play my lineup. Let’s take a look at it. Lineup-
Name
Price
DKP
Value
Proj Own
Real Own
Diff
De’Aaron Fox
8200
43
5.2x
12.5%
12.1%
0.4%
D Rose
6800
43.25
6.4x
2.5%
9.7%
7.2%
Trevor Ariza
5400
31.75
5.9x
22.5%
12.5%
10.0%!!
Ibaka
5700
17.75
3.1x
5%
12.2%
7.2%
Cody Zeller
4400
19.5
4.4x
5%
7.2%
2.2%
Justise Winslow
5500
32.5
5.9x
7.5%
9.7%
2.2%
Luka Doncic
8300
50.25
6.1x
10%
13.8%
3.8%
Montrezl Harrell
5700
48.25
8.5x
10%
27.5%
17.5%!!
Total
50000
286.25
5.725x
Entry Fees: 48.75 Winnings: 73.80 Profit: 25.05 ROI: 51.4% Analysis- There were so many people at the top I wanted to fit in, I found this to be an extremely difficult slate to whittle down. Wall, Fox, Oladipo, Vuc, KAT, Kawhi, Jrue, Doncic, Drummond, Blake, Booker, Kemba.. I seriously could go on.. All of these players were in great spots, either due to game environment or injury. Picking the 2 or 3 you wanted was basically the key decision you had to make for the slate. The first person I locked in was Fox. 239 total. SGA is not a good defender, and the Clippers are weak against PG in general. There was nothing from this side of the game that I thought was priced well enough to have a huge advantage over the others, so I locked in Fox, who i considered for legit 50 point upside with low ownership due to the hesitancy of people to pay 8200 for him (I base this on looking at the price and going "oh holy shit. 8200" and thinking everyone else will do the same) The second person I locked in was D-Rose. I have done like, 9 of these articles so far. By far, the opinion that got me the most “shit” was that you should play D-Rose every day until he reaches 9k as long as Teague is out. Well, I am living the 6.4x life. Even in a blow out, they still gave him 38 minutes. Dude doesn’t get the respect he deserves, and I will keep using that to help me make money. The 3rd person I locked was Cody Zeller. This one makes me really angry. Zeller had about 18 DKP going into halftime. Then they decided to play small, letting Marvin Williams get the C run for the most part, with Hernangomez still playing the backup role. If you take out the production Williams provided at the 5, “Horners Centers” put up more than 40 DKP against the Nets in 34 or so minutes. I don’t know why they went small against a team that can’t defend Centers, but it cost them the game. 18DKP going into halftime and finishing with 19.5! Are you serious! The point still stands - play Centers against Brooklyn The 4th person I locked in was Ariza. Like i said, Washington is going to run him into the ground. Play him while he’s under 6k He might be at over 7k soon. I thought Wall would be more popular than his projection said (due to price) and I wanted to pivot onto Ariza who i thought would be less popular than the projection (and, for once, I guessed right about projected ownerships) The 5th person I locked was Ibaka. When it came out he was going to play, without limits, in a game that Lowry was going to miss, with a Q tag displayed on DK, i wanted to get him as a pivot off of FVV, who i thought would be much more popular and facing the D of Winslow. If he hadn’t gone 2-10, maybe this would have paid off. I still don’t understand how it went so bad! Hey, they all have their bad days too! Sixth, I locked in Montrezl. I wanted to run something back from the SAC/LAC game, he was underpriced at 5700, LouWill was back, and the projection was for only 10% ownership (man those are so bad). This left me with 2 slots. I tried messing around with all those big guys up top. Vuc, KAT, Wall, Kawhi… but If i locked in Doncic, who was in a great spot against NO, I could also fit in Justise who the coach said would be running the point from now on until Dragic gets back. I thought this was going to be the combination that would lead to the highest combined points, so I locked it in and began holding my breath. Doncic was 1 Rebound away from a triple double!! Damn! The Daily Slate: A game that features basically every single team from the Xmas slate with the exception of the Kings who will be replacing the Thunder as team #10. The Bucks and the Knicks are playing again, this time in Milwaukee. Situations to take advantage of (in no particular order):
Noah Vonleh - If you watched the Bucks/Knicks game on Xmas, you know why I was so high on Vonleh (and almost no one else) in this matchup. The Bucks are very attackable at the PF position, and Vonleh is aggressive enough to make them pay. Additionally, if Kanter is asked to guard Lopez, he will be running around the entire game defending 3s. Last game Kanter got in the mid-20s in minutes because of this. Vonleh wound up being the main beneficiary of this, and I expect much of the same tonight. In a game that features one of the highest spreads I can remember (Bucks by 14!!!), we have to be careful where we spend our money. I will get on this later.
Lakers vs. Kings - Game of the night?? You better believe it. Rondo is out, Lebron is out. Beasley is still out. McGee may not play. The Kings are 2nd in pace, the Lakers are 3rd. O/U of almost 230? Check. Spread of only SAC -3.5? Check. The prices on LA have come up slightly, but not enough to adjust for Lebron being out. Literally every person on this team is in play. Kuzma is a little expensive at 7400 but has legit 50 DKP upside. I particularly love Ball at 5500 and Ingram at 5800 against SAC’s weakest spots. If McGee misses, Zubac’s price is starting to come up, but 5400 is still probably too cheap, especially for this matchup. He can also be demolished by WCS who is only 6600. The Lakers and 2nd weakest against SG, which also means Hield at 6900 is someone I almost certainly will lock in. Fox is 8000, which against the plus defense of Ball, is the only one that gives me pause. Otherwise every other player is in a great matchup at too cheap a price. I hate to give so little analysis, but when every single thing is good, it’s easier to just say “find what you love, what you can fit, and whoever isn’t owned over 50% and do that” then just make up arbitrary factors in order to justify writing more words.
Dame and CJ - While their prices have come up from the Xmas pricing debacle, They are still priced far too lowly at 8300 and 6000 respectively. The Blazers are in a nice pace up spot, being the 20th i pace and the Warriors 10th. While the spread is concerning at GS -9, I still feel like this game has a chance to stay close and, if it does, it is going to come from both of these players keeping it that way.
Sixers vs. Jazz - Much like on Xmas day, I expect the game featuring the Sixers to be underowned compared to its potential. The O/U is a fair 218 with a close spread of UTAH -5. Additionally, many long term players are having a problem accepting the increased pace the Jazz have been sporting this year. While Gobert is the best defensive Center in the NBA, the Center position also scores the most points against the Jazz. This means Embiid, who’s price just snuck back above 10k, is still in a really great spot. Especially if Harden plays, I don’t think enough people are going to be on Embiid on this matchup. The 2nd best position with which to attack the Jazz is PG. That means Simmons, who is at his cheapest price in weeks at 8200, is in a great position to rebound, both metaphorically and literally (oooh! Professional writing!). While I think Butler’s Matchup Specific Ceiling is limited playing with Simmons and Embiid, he should be priced at 8000. 7200 just provides too much value. On the other side of the ball, I expect the Sixers to stick their best two defenders, Simmons and Butler, on Rubio and Mitchell. This gives Ingles, who will be paired with Reddick, a great spot at a ceiling game at only 5700. People will be scared off of Ingles against the PHI SF and won’t account for this change. Additionally, the only position against which Philly is really weak is PF, where Old Man Wilson Chandler and Mike Muscala have been hemorrhaging points. Unfortunately, PF for the Jazz is manned by old man Derrick Favors who i can only recommend if you don’t mind incredible risk, but has the potential to put up 30-40DKP in this matchup at 4800. While Embiid is a good defender, Nurkic is better and Gobert just destroyed him to the tune of 51.5DKP. They are going to need Gobert the entire game, and the stigma of going against Embiid and the OPRK on DK will cause ownership here to be far less than it should be.
Situations to be careful of (in no particular order): lorenzoirenicus asked me a question yesterday - do I really fade entire games due to the O/U. The way I word things (situations to avoid) and the somewhat simplified explanations I can give (i can’t write 10k words every night), I understood that could be what it looks like. However, I look at all the pricing, the matchups, the pace, the spread, and a whole other collection of other factors. Sometimes I will grab players from games with high spreads or low O/Us, but it depends on the situation. So I have decided to change the name of this section from “situations to avoid” to “situations to be careful of” because, honestly, that’s what I’m trying to predict and preach in this section - games and situations that can hamper scoring, ceiling, and your profit. For example, in the first write up, I am not saying Giannis can’t go out and put up 70 DKP. I’m saying that there may be factors at play that make this less likely. With that, let’s get into it
Knicks vs. Bucks - On Xmas I noted how insane it was that, with Giannis at 10700 and Mudiay at 6900, there was a massive 3800 gap between the most expensive and the second most expensive player in this game. Well, somehow, that gap has now increased. Giannis is now 11100 and the next closest player is Bledsoe at 6500, which is a gap of 4600. 4600. Holy shit. I give Mike Budenholzer a lot of credit. Going into the 4th quarter of the Xmas game, it was already out of reach for the Knicks. He decided that, regardless of the normal MO, since it was a national game on Xmas, he would give the fans what they wanted and let the starters get their normal run. This is not something I expect tonight. The spread on Xmas opened at MIL -9. This one opened at MIL -14. The O/U is a healthy 224, so there will be a bunch of scoring, but I wouldn’t spend more than 20% of my entire salary on a player that, in the penultimate Bucks blowout, got 26 minutes. I view the rest of this game as something that depends on your risk aversion. Personally, I don’t want to pay full price on people that will only get 3 quarters of run, so I won’t. This does put players like Dotson, Hill, Wilson, Trier and Burke in interest spots. If you, like me, believe this game will be over well before the final buzzer, then invest in some of the almost minimum priced players that will get run in the entirety of the 4th quarter.
The rest of the Blazers vs. Warriors game - For those who read my article before Xmas day and then paid attention to the game you’ll know why I call them the Golden State TooManyCooks. While any of them can put up a dart throw crazy GPP game, while all 4 stars are healthy, I am hesitant to spend those prices for 4 people who all eat into each other’s production so much. The only position POR is particularly weak against is SF so, if you are going to play anyone on GS, I would play Durant. But, again, who the hell knows which of them is going to get hot any given day (it could even be Iguodala for some reason!) On the Blazers side, the Warriors are inclined to go small, playing Dray at the 5 a lot. I don’t think the Blazers will mind playing this way as well, meaning I have no interest in Nurkic. The only other players in this game I would have any interest in if i happened to have their salary left are the punts: Aminu is still too cheap at 4500. And if they do go small, I imagine that translates into extra minutes for the too-cheap Evan Turner at 3900. If you think there is no way this game stays close, Seth Curry at 3100 is an interesting punt, as someone who has no problem just shooting the ball 20 times in 10 minutes. On the GS side, in terms of punts, I won’t chase the Iguodala points, but I do think Looney is a fine punt regardless and Jerebko would be one of the “play in case of blow out” players.
Situations to monitor:
Celtics vs. Rockets - If you paid attention to yesterday’s article, you will remember that I pointed out there were 2 games without O/Us yet, The Wolves game, where Vegas was waiting for news on D-Rose, and The Raptors game, for which there was no pending news. Magically, Lowry “hurt his back in warmup” and wound up going from doubtful to out pretty quickly. I point this out because right now James Harden is listed as Questionable (although listed “out” on DK). However, Vegas hasn’t held out on releasing a 216.5 O/U with a spread of HOU -2. You think Vegas would be accepting bets against the Rockets if there was any chance Harden wasn’t playing??? Still, he is questionable so let’s talk about it. If Harden misses, this game will almost certainly blow out, so be cautious spending your money on the expensive people. If Harden misses, everyone on the Rockets is cheap enough to play (with the possible exception of Capela). Gordon would handle a huge offensive load at only 5800. Tucker is still only 4500. Gerald Green, House, and Rivers would get a lot of run and shots up and are 3700, 3600 and 3400 respectively. Even with the prospects of a blowout, Kyrie may still be too cheap at 8400. He is priced to be facing the defense of CP3 still, which he is certainly not. I also like Horford here for 5600. Capela is a surprisingly incredibly shitty defender, and Horford should be able to get all over and around him. If Harden is in, I have a much harder time playing anyone else on the Rockets except Tucker, Rivers, and Harden. Even then, there is enough tonight I will wait to see ownership. I’m sure Harden will put up 60+DKP, but at 11300 and what should be incredibly high ownership, it might make more sense to look elsewhere in tournaments.
Well, there we go! As I said at the top, I have a twitter and something called Venmo and a Patreon now. I don’t expect anything, but a couple people asked me about setting those up, so I wanted to make sure those folks saw. I am not trying to ask for anything, and I do apologize if you find this uncouth. Let’s get rich together!! Barring any sort of family emergency, I will able to do a Good Chalk/Bad Chalk both tomorrow and Friday! I’ll see you guys there!
CreateYoureReality NFL Analysis and Picks Week 16 (Sunday Games)
https://preview.redd.it/fva8iuunm7641.jpg?width=1024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=609fe6329f6a60fd2f01e236096dd6c6677f07de Saturday Recap Singles: 1-3 (-2.1u) Little rough here, HOU took a lead with defense so there offense wasnt needed much. Gurly had 15 carrys and 2 TDs, but only mustered 50 yards. Perriman went offffff. Parlay: 1-1 (+3.6u) That was decent. Was nice to free roll a win after the Pats game, would have been nicer if the Rams could play defense on third and long when you know Jimmy G is looking only deep over the middle....twice in the same drive lol BBDLS: 0-1 (-0.7u) Rough, felt pretty confident about this one if the Rams covered. Still have one live though! :D SBBDLS: 0-1 (-0.5u) Man, I picked everything right on the card today, got HOU under, Rams +6, but both my HOU -3 and NE -7 were pushes, and in this contest a push is a loss. I might try again Today. Teasers: 1-0 (+1u) Hit the one posted and I put a big one in at the Ocean. It is still live. I will post it at the bottom in the teaser section. Sunday Games New Orleans at Tennessee (+2.5): Both teams come into this game looking for a win. NO has clinched their division, but is still looking for a number one seed in the playoffs. TEN is looking for the upset here to set up a huge rematch vs the Texans in W17. My algo actually has this pretty close to a PK with TEN favored after hfa is added. It will be very interesting to see how TEN handles the pressure of playing to stay alive in the playoffs. One huge note is the Saints average 420 total ypg at home but only 311 on the road. Brees is always a little more comfortable in his dome and there is predicted rain on Sunday in TEN. I'd say the worse the weather is, the more I lean TEN and the under. NY Giants at Washington (-2): A divisional match up here with no playoff implications but some draft order implications. NY is fresh off a Manning led home win vs. the Dolphins. Washington is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 and was on track to be 4-0 except some last second weirdness lead to philly covering. Upon writing this, it looks like Jones is going to be back at QB for NY. Unfortunately for the Giants, he has been very fumble prone this year and the WAS pass rush is quietly tied for 7th in sacks this season. If there is a spot for NY to attack, it would be the slot as that is WAS's biggest leak defensively. If Jones returns, I will be looking in the direction of Tate who has been quiet since Jones sat. With two bad teams not playing for the post season, anything is possible, but currently the algo is leaning WAS. Pittsburgh at NY Jets (+3): Everyone is talking about a revenge game for Bell. I see it as the opposite. A revenge game for the Steelers to show Bell this game is a team effort. Honestly this is one of the tougher picks for me. The algo has PIT -1. What makes these games that involve the bottom 10 teams in the league difficult to cap is you just don't know if they want to win. Every win hurts their draft stock for next season so yea, a win is nice, but it doesn't benefit the team except a day of feel good. Obviously I want to side with a Steeler defense that has been keeping them in the playoff hunt allowing 21 points or less in each of the last six games. ...But who knows if duck is going to flop or fly like an Eagle.... With such a low total, there's no props except defensive that I would look at. As for a side, I will probably fade this game. Cincinnati at Miami (+1): This game features another two teams high up in the draft order. It opened as MIA -3 but has quickly moved to the other side and sits at CIN -1. My algo leans Cincy just based on the fact that their defense is slightly better and offensively they just have more options. ALL CIN WRs and RBs have a favorable match up here but I would say Mixon is the safest option as taking the RB takes the risk of Dalton not being able to get it to his receivers. As for MIA, they only player I have been looking at for them is DeVante Parker. Carolina at Indianapolis (-6.5): Both teams are coming off losses and neither team has a chance to make the playoffs. Carolina will be starting a new QB. How can you cap that? This is a prime game to either ride the ml of the dog or the points on the favorite. TY Hilton came back last week against the Saints but found no room to make anything happen. This week he draws a very weak Carolina secondary. Also, Mack has been quiet for the last few games but also has a very good match up in this game. CMC is only like 120 Rec yards away from having a 1k and 1k season. With a new starting QB and only 2 games to hit the record and not much else for the "team" to play for...I will be looking for CMC to do some work. Baltimore at Cleveland (+10): This game opened at 7 and has since moved up to 10. Cleveland is out of the playoffs and essentially playing for pride. Baltimore has clinched their division, a playoff spot, and now plays for the number one seed in the post season. Baltimore hasn't lost since the played CLE in week 4. Wouldn't it be crazy if Baltimore had this crazy good season but somehow got swept by CLE in the regular season? It would almost validate all of CLE's struggles this season. It probably won't happen with as bad as CLE has been vs. the run, especially since losing Myles Garret but it's an interesting thought. Jacksonville at Atlanta (-7): This is another one of those anything can happen games. Last week the Falcon's showed life by upsetting the 49ers. They have been much better defensively since their bye week and it show going 4-2. Jacksonville flamed out of the playoffs after putting Foles back into the lineup, but as soon as they benched him for the Mustache, they won again. However, in non conference games since 2015 ATL is 5-23 ATS. and vs. the AFC since 2017....0-11 ATS. So as hard as it may be, I am going to once again ride with the Stache and his number one target, Chark. Detroit at Denver (-6.5): Both of these teams coming off brutal losses. DET was crushed at home by Winston and it looks like they have resigned to trying to get the best draft pick. DEN was crushed in a snow game in KC but haven't given up, upsetting HOU the week before. The only negative I see for DEN players is the timing of the game. They have been on the road for the last 4 games and now come home to play on Christmas week. Hopefully they can handle business because they have the wonderful opportunity to go up against a DET secondary that hasn't won a game since October. Oakland at LA Chargers (-6.5): Both 4pm games feature losing teams coming off disappointing losses. OAK lost their final home game in OAK ever to the Mustache led Jags and the Chargers lost their last game in a home blowout loss to MIN. Neither team has playoff hopes and a win only hurts their draft stock. The algo is favoring the Chargers as both teams have an offense with potential, but the LAC have clear advantage on the defensive side of the ball. However, as neither teams could use a win as much as a loss, this is another low confidence lean, not a smash. Dallas at Philadelphia (+1.5): DUN DUN DUNNNNN. The playoffs are here! These two teams face off in what is essentially a game for the NFC East division title, and a trip to the playoffs. Both teams are coming off wins. DAL dismantled the Rams last week in an impressive showing, while PHL struggled against WAS but pulled it out in the end. Philly has one of the better run defenses in the league, but Zeek just seems to crush the Eagles, "Elliott has never lost to the Eagles; he’s 5-0. Since 2016, the Eagles are 2-5 against Dallas and their only two wins have come without Elliott in the lineup. In five career games against the Eagles, Elliott has 815 yards from scrimmage (163 per game) and three touchdowns " Should be interesting to see which continues. The Eagles good run game? Or Zeke's Eagle Dominance? Arizona at Seattle (-9.5): Last of the mid day games. A divisional match up that means nothing for AZ but one that SEA would love to book in the W column as they are still fighting for playoff seeding. Last time these two teams played SEA had an EZ W, But, that was one of the only games that SEA has played that didnt end within 1 score. It's already 1130 today so I don't have time to do the in depth analysis for every game today, but the algo is leaning on AZ and a high scoring game here. If I have time today I will update this analysis with which props I am taking, currently none because I want to get the early picks posted but tune back in later in the day to see if this gets update with props for this game. Kansas City at Chicago (+6.5): Chicago is out of the playoffs with that loss to GB last week. KC is starting to get hot at the right time. Chi is 2-0 ATS as a home dog this year, but I cant step in front of the KC train. Their team stock went way down after the losses and PM injury and everyone forgot about them. Now it seems PM is back to his last season form with almost full hand strength. Along with his progression, the KC defense has really stepped up in the last few weeks. Right now with the number under +7, the algo is leaning with the favorite. Singles 123-128-3 (+18.8u)
Tajae Sharpe 21.5 Rec Yards Over (1.1u to win 1u)
Dion Lewis 21.5 Rec Yards Over (2.3u to win 2u)
Dion Lewis to score 2+ TDs (0.5u to win 2.75u)
Golden Tate 45.5 Rec Yards Over (0.55u to win 0.5u)
McLaurin 57.5 Rec Yards Over (0.65u to win 0.5u)
Steve Sims 35.5 Rec Yards Over (0.55u to win 0.5u)
Steve Sims 3.5 Rec Over (2u to win 2.5u)
WAS ml (1u to win 1.05u)
CIN -1 (1.1u to win 1u)
Mixon Rush Yards 83.5 Over (2.6u to win 2u)
Mixon Receptions 2.5 Over (1u to win 1.08u)
Devante Parker Rec Yards 68.5 Over (1.2u to win 1u)
Devante Parker Rec 4.5 Over (1u to win 1.12u)
CMC Rec Yards 55.5 Over (1.1u to win 1u)
JAX +7.5 (1.1u to win 1u)
DEN -6.5 (1.1u to win 1u)
LAC -6.5 (1.1u to win 1u)
DAL -1.5 (1.1u to win 1u)
Zeke 75+ Rush Yards (2.1u to win 2u)
KC -6.5 (1.1u to win 1u)
Parlays: 8-14 (+81.66u)
Big Boy Daddy Long Shot 0-17 (-17.78u)
VAN Canucks ml (12/19), NE ml, HOU ml, TEN ml, CIN ml, WAS ml, DAL ml, SEA ml, DEN ml, LAC ml, KC ml, MIN ml (1.2u to win 340.79u)
Super Big Boy Daddy Long Shot: 0-14 (-7u)
Putting one in at Ocean Casino on Sunday morning.
Teasers: 7-22 (-36.1u)
NE +3.5, HOU +6.5, DEN +2.5, LAC +3.5, ATL O38.5, TEN +13.5, WAS +7.5, CIN +10.5, CIN O39.5, IND +3.5, DAL +6.5, SEA +0.5, SEA O43.5, KC +5.5, MIN +5.5 (3u to win 90u)
I will update more bets and analysis for the later games as the day goes on. I just want to put these picks out with now with enough time for everyone to read them. Thanks for reading. Good luck to all! :D
Calls waiting to be listed on v/SoundboardPranks (AKA "Duncan Discussion")
These are all the calls I've been waiting to add to Duncan Discussion since Voat went down. I've been holding onto them since last month and figured the community might be curious to see all the calls that have been made since the sub was last updated (July 24). I didn't want to flood Freddit so I put all the calls into one list. I know a few of these have been posted here already but a lot of these might be new for those fans (like myself) who aren't on YouTube. Some recent news for the Soundboard Community... * Hooch Pandersatch announces he is leaving YouTube and will be releasing calls exclusively on Bandcamp.com. * On a related note, other pranksters have also run into trouble with YouTube. 1. YouTube took down a recent call by ProsecuteThis, "Springfield Pervert and his Prosecutor partner up", for "harassing content". Faced the possibility his channel might be deleted, the prankster created a backup account. Speculation by ProsecuteThis suggests that YouTube's AI program might be successful in blocking all soundboard prank calls from being uploaded someday. 2. Sinister Sean was forced to age-restrict his videos after one of his recent calls was flagged and deleted by the website. 3. PrankCallsHotline's channel was mysteriously shut down last month. * TranquilDark180 is still looking for a name for this lovely lady. * After a long hiatus, Lou Sass and Sepia Avocado have released a bunch of new calls. Sepia also created and tested out soundboards for some older victims (The Grim Reeper and Wacky Tobacky Lady). Nomadcowatbk also released a few new calls over the summer. * Phillip Carlson has been putting out some new Soundboard Victim Wrestling videos. * A few new soundboard pranksters their debut: Oddsin, Owenergy, and Rick Mullet-Moore (see here for a complete listing)
Looks like Lebron found a few buddies to polish off some Pinot Noir with Reggie Bullock, Kyle Kuzma, Josh Hart, Tyson Chandler, Brandon Ingram, and Lonzo Ball are all out tonight along with Lebron. Who is going to score JaVal McGee, Rondo, Lance Stephenson? They are averaging a combined 27 Points per game. I would be suprised to see the Lakers hit 100 points tonight. Lock it up Under 230. 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒 Record (1-1-0) Last Night Recap: WIN - And the heater begins! The Flyers came out as flat as can be allowing 5 goals in the first period to the St. Louis Blues. It was the fastest 5 goals scored in their franchises history. JVR said it best “Pretty Embarrassing”, The Flyers are ready for the off-season and can’t wait to ditch the skates for a nice pair of golf shoes. With all this being said, a sneaky bet for Saturday would be the Flyers over the Hurricanes. The Flyers will want to give the home fans one last show before the off-season, and if there is one thing the Flyers do best its messing up their draft position. ***Post 3rd Leg Birth Edit*** **** ALSO THE LOCK ABOVE IS STILL A LOCK 🔒 ***
1st Leg: Spurs -7 vs Wizards (-110)
2nd Leg: Raptors -6 vs Hornets (-110)
3rd Leg: Pelicans -2.5 vs Suns (-110)
(Parlay the three legs’ money lines: (+223) As you can see my picks are a lot less risky then Nelso’s which is surprising since now that money is involved i would expect a man of Hebrew decent to take the Warriors ML, and Rockets ML, that way he couldn’t possibly lose any cash. But that will most likely change after this week when he is down some serious cash to me. Hopefully i can teach him a thing or 2 about the basics of sports betting like what an oveunder is. Maybe 3 leg Friday will be good for him though because perhaps he will get 1 right and be able to add a 1 to that win column instead of that nice goose egg 0.
Nelso-
1st Leg: Blue Jackets Puck Line (aka -1.5 for the commoners)(+112)
2nd Leg: Mariners -1.5 (+135)
3rd Leg: Phillies -1.5 (+133)
(Parlay the three legs’ money lines: (+322) Record (0-2-0) I was gonna take the Clippers -9 against the Lakers, and if I’m in a casino before 10:30 tonight I still will. I don’t mess around with those juvenile McQ type picks guessing whether or not these teams can score more or less than 230 points combined. That’s just a childish wager! I’m an adult… I go 0-2 and I talk shit. So now I’m looking to cover my 3 spreads tonight, and have my 3rd leg parlay bump me up to 4-2, and McQ to lose everything so he is 1-5. HOW QUICKLY THE TABLES CAN TURN! That’s just hopeful thinking. I have to be honest, I don’t care what McQ does this week, because next week we are officially betting money on who has a better record at the closing of every 3rd Leg Friday. This does not mean that I haven’t lost a considerable amount of money already losing my first 2 days of POTD. Last Night Recap: Loss- I’m completely defeated. (McQ is super close to becoming a daily flamer!) I’m not gonna lie and say it feels good to be 0-2. But I will absolutely make myself feel better and create excuses on why this is happening. Besides my flawed logic of yesterday’s game (See yesterday’s live update) … there was more to be broken than my heart. I shit you not, The fucking Mets would have been on an absolute flamer if their bats have not been sabotaged before the game. I pinpoint my loss to 3 situations. They had 3 crisp at bats with runners on base… 3 hits that would have been out of the stadium, probably… 3 hits that would have put the Mets up by 100 points. Instead THESE 3 HITS RESULTED IN BROKEN BATS. One of these leading to a double play, another one to end the inning when 2 people were in scoring position, and a third that only got to first base, but it should have been out of the park. So instead of the 8 points from those three hits going into my pocket, I lost the game, lost my money, lost my dignity, but gained insight on the absolutely genius way of destroying a MLB team’s chance of winning… pre-cut their lumber like a 3rd grader taking karate.
bathrobeDFS - Daily Analysis for December 27th and Review of December 26th
Hello, everyone! bathrobeDFS here with your daily basketball article. First, I will breakdown my lineup for yesterday’s main slate. Then I will go over tonight’s slate from the perspective of a one lineup player on Draftkings. If you like this information, I provide additional updates, information, and stats on my twitter @bathrobeDFS. Feel free to throw me a follow cause it’s much easier and more timely to provide updates over that medium. Yesterday In Review: So over the last few days, I have been approached by a few people that asked me to start something called a Patreon and get onto something called Venmo in case they or anyone else wanted to “tip” me or what have you. I was hesitant to do something like that, but he told me it was akin to tipping your dealer at the casino. Ultimately, that argument won me over. So, while I can flatly say I do not expect anything, (nor am I trying to ask for anything by doing this), I have started both. If you are interested, you can check www.patreon.com/bathrobeDFS and www.venmo.com/bathrobeDFS. I hope this isn’t considered bad form, and if you don’t want me advertising this, I understand and I apologize. I hope you all don’t think anything less of me. The other thing I did yesterday was play my lineup. Let’s take a look at it. Lineup-
Name
Price
DKP
Value
Proj Own
Real Own
Diff
De’Aaron Fox
8200
43
5.2x
12.5%
12.1%
0.4%
D Rose
6800
43.25
6.4x
2.5%
9.7%
7.2%
Trevor Ariza
5400
31.75
5.9x
22.5%
12.5%
10.0%!!
Ibaka
5700
17.75
3.1x
5%
12.2%
7.2%
Cody Zeller
4400
19.5
4.4x
5%
7.2%
2.2%
Justise Winslow
5500
32.5
5.9x
7.5%
9.7%
2.2%
Luka Doncic
8300
50.25
6.1x
10%
13.8%
3.8%
Montrezl Harrell
5700
48.25
8.5x
10%
27.5%
17.5%!!
Total
50000
286.25
5.725x
Entry Fees: 48.75 Winnings: 73.80 Profit: 25.05 ROI: 51.4% Analysis- There were so many people at the top I wanted to fit in, I found this to be an extremely difficult slate to whittle down. Wall, Fox, Oladipo, Vuc, KAT, Kawhi, Jrue, Doncic, Drummond, Blake, Booker, Kemba.. I seriously could go on.. All of these players were in great spots, either due to game environment or injury. Picking the 2 or 3 you wanted was basically the key decision you had to make for the slate. The first person I locked in was Fox. 239 total. SGA is not a good defender, and the Clippers are weak against PG in general. There was nothing from this side of the game that I thought was priced well enough to have a huge advantage over the others, so I locked in Fox, who i considered for legit 50 point upside with low ownership due to the hesitancy of people to pay 8200 for him (I base this on looking at the price and going "oh holy shit. 8200" and thinking everyone else will do the same) The second person I locked in was D-Rose. I have done like, 9 of these articles so far. By far, the opinion that got me the most “shit” was that you should play D-Rose every day until he reaches 9k as long as Teague is out. Well, I am living the 6.4x life. Even in a blow out, they still gave him 38 minutes. Dude doesn’t get the respect he deserves, and I will keep using that to help me make money. The 3rd person I locked was Cody Zeller. This one makes me really angry. Zeller had about 18 DKP going into halftime. Then they decided to play small, letting Marvin Williams get the C run for the most part, with Hernangomez still playing the backup role. If you take out the production Williams provided at the 5, “Horners Centers” put up more than 40 DKP against the Nets in 34 or so minutes. I don’t know why they went small against a team that can’t defend Centers, but it cost them the game. 18DKP going into halftime and finishing with 19.5! Are you serious! The point still stands - play Centers against Brooklyn The 4th person I locked in was Ariza. Like i said, Washington is going to run him into the ground. Play him while he’s under 6k He might be at over 7k soon. I thought Wall would be more popular than his projection said (due to price) and I wanted to pivot onto Ariza who i thought would be less popular than the projection (and, for once, I guessed right about projected ownerships) The 5th person I locked was Ibaka. When it came out he was going to play, without limits, in a game that Lowry was going to miss, with a Q tag displayed on DK, i wanted to get him as a pivot off of FVV, who i thought would be much more popular and facing the D of Winslow. If he hadn’t gone 2-10, maybe this would have paid off. I still don’t understand how it went so bad! Hey, they all have their bad days too! Sixth, I locked in Montrezl. I wanted to run something back from the SAC/LAC game, he was underpriced at 5700, LouWill was back, and the projection was for only 10% ownership (man those are so bad). This left me with 2 slots. I tried messing around with all those big guys up top. Vuc, KAT, Wall, Kawhi… but If i locked in Doncic, who was in a great spot against NO, I could also fit in Justise who the coach said would be running the point from now on until Dragic gets back. I thought this was going to be the combination that would lead to the highest combined points, so I locked it in and began holding my breath. Doncic was 1 Rebound away from a triple double!! Damn! The Daily Slate: A game that features basically every single team from the Xmas slate with the exception of the Kings who will be replacing the Thunder as team #10. The Bucks and the Knicks are playing again, this time in Milwaukee. Situations to take advantage of (in no particular order):
Noah Vonleh - If you watched the Bucks/Knicks game on Xmas, you know why I was so high on Vonleh (and almost no one else) in this matchup. The Bucks are very attackable at the PF position, and Vonleh is aggressive enough to make them pay. Additionally, if Kanter is asked to guard Lopez, he will be running around the entire game defending 3s. Last game Kanter got in the mid-20s in minutes because of this. Vonleh wound up being the main beneficiary of this, and I expect much of the same tonight. In a game that features one of the highest spreads I can remember (Bucks by 14!!!), we have to be careful where we spend our money. I will get on this later.
Lakers vs. Kings - Game of the night?? You better believe it. Rondo is out, Lebron is out. Beasley is still out. McGee may not play. The Kings are 2nd in pace, the Lakers are 3rd. O/U of almost 230? Check. Spread of only SAC -3.5? Check. The prices on LA have come up slightly, but not enough to adjust for Lebron being out. Literally every person on this team is in play. Kuzma is a little expensive at 7400 but has legit 50 DKP upside. I particularly love Ball at 5500 and Ingram at 5800 against SAC’s weakest spots. If McGee misses, Zubac’s price is starting to come up, but 5400 is still probably too cheap, especially for this matchup. He can also be demolished by WCS who is only 6600. The Lakers and 2nd weakest against SG, which also means Hield at 6900 is someone I almost certainly will lock in. Fox is 8000, which against the plus defense of Ball, is the only one that gives me pause. Otherwise every other player is in a great matchup at too cheap a price. I hate to give so little analysis, but when every single thing is good, it’s easier to just say “find what you love, what you can fit, and whoever isn’t owned over 50% and do that” then just make up arbitrary factors in order to justify writing more words.
Dame and CJ - While their prices have come up from the Xmas pricing debacle, They are still priced far too lowly at 8300 and 6000 respectively. The Blazers are in a nice pace up spot, being the 20th i pace and the Warriors 10th. While the spread is concerning at GS -9, I still feel like this game has a chance to stay close and, if it does, it is going to come from both of these players keeping it that way.
Sixers vs. Jazz - Much like on Xmas day, I expect the game featuring the Sixers to be underowned compared to its potential. The O/U is a fair 218 with a close spread of UTAH -5. Additionally, many long term players are having a problem accepting the increased pace the Jazz have been sporting this year. While Gobert is the best defensive Center in the NBA, the Center position also scores the most points against the Jazz. This means Embiid, who’s price just snuck back above 10k, is still in a really great spot. Especially if Harden plays, I don’t think enough people are going to be on Embiid on this matchup. The 2nd best position with which to attack the Jazz is PG. That means Simmons, who is at his cheapest price in weeks at 8200, is in a great position to rebound, both metaphorically and literally (oooh! Professional writing!). While I think Butler’s Matchup Specific Ceiling is limited playing with Simmons and Embiid, he should be priced at 8000. 7200 just provides too much value. On the other side of the ball, I expect the Sixers to stick their best two defenders, Simmons and Butler, on Rubio and Mitchell. This gives Ingles, who will be paired with Reddick, a great spot at a ceiling game at only 5700. People will be scared off of Ingles against the PHI SF and won’t account for this change. Additionally, the only position against which Philly is really weak is PF, where Old Man Wilson Chandler and Mike Muscala have been hemorrhaging points. Unfortunately, PF for the Jazz is manned by old man Derrick Favors who i can only recommend if you don’t mind incredible risk, but has the potential to put up 30-40DKP in this matchup at 4800. While Embiid is a good defender, Nurkic is better and Gobert just destroyed him to the tune of 51.5DKP. They are going to need Gobert the entire game, and the stigma of going against Embiid and the OPRK on DK will cause ownership here to be far less than it should be.
Situations to be careful of (in no particular order): lorenzoirenicus asked me a question yesterday - do I really fade entire games due to the O/U. The way I word things (situations to avoid) and the somewhat simplified explanations I can give (i can’t write 10k words every night), I understood that could be what it looks like. However, I look at all the pricing, the matchups, the pace, the spread, and a whole other collection of other factors. Sometimes I will grab players from games with high spreads or low O/Us, but it depends on the situation. So I have decided to change the name of this section from “situations to avoid” to “situations to be careful of” because, honestly, that’s what I’m trying to predict and preach in this section - games and situations that can hamper scoring, ceiling, and your profit. For example, in the first write up, I am not saying Giannis can’t go out and put up 70 DKP. I’m saying that there may be factors at play that make this less likely. With that, let’s get into it
Knicks vs. Bucks - On Xmas I noted how insane it was that, with Giannis at 10700 and Mudiay at 6900, there was a massive 3800 gap between the most expensive and the second most expensive player in this game. Well, somehow, that gap has now increased. Giannis is now 11100 and the next closest player is Bledsoe at 6500, which is a gap of 4600. 4600. Holy shit. I give Mike Budenholzer a lot of credit. Going into the 4th quarter of the Xmas game, it was already out of reach for the Knicks. He decided that, regardless of the normal MO, since it was a national game on Xmas, he would give the fans what they wanted and let the starters get their normal run. This is not something I expect tonight. The spread on Xmas opened at MIL -9. This one opened at MIL -14. The O/U is a healthy 224, so there will be a bunch of scoring, but I wouldn’t spend more than 20% of my entire salary on a player that, in the penultimate Bucks blowout, got 26 minutes. I view the rest of this game as something that depends on your risk aversion. Personally, I don’t want to pay full price on people that will only get 3 quarters of run, so I won’t. This does put players like Dotson, Hill, Wilson, Trier and Burke in interest spots. If you, like me, believe this game will be over well before the final buzzer, then invest in some of the almost minimum priced players that will get run in the entirety of the 4th quarter.
The rest of the Blazers vs. Warriors game - For those who read my article before Xmas day and then paid attention to the game you’ll know why I call them the Golden State TooManyCooks. While any of them can put up a dart throw crazy GPP game, while all 4 stars are healthy, I am hesitant to spend those prices for 4 people who all eat into each other’s production so much. The only position POR is particularly weak against is SF so, if you are going to play anyone on GS, I would play Durant. But, again, who the hell knows which of them is going to get hot any given day (it could even be Iguodala for some reason!) On the Blazers side, the Warriors are inclined to go small, playing Dray at the 5 a lot. I don’t think the Blazers will mind playing this way as well, meaning I have no interest in Nurkic. The only other players in this game I would have any interest in if i happened to have their salary left are the punts: Aminu is still too cheap at 4500. And if they do go small, I imagine that translates into extra minutes for the too-cheap Evan Turner at 3900. If you think there is no way this game stays close, Seth Curry at 3100 is an interesting punt, as someone who has no problem just shooting the ball 20 times in 10 minutes. On the GS side, in terms of punts, I won’t chase the Iguodala points, but I do think Looney is a fine punt regardless and Jerebko would be one of the “play in case of blow out” players.
Situations to monitor:
Celtics vs. Rockets - If you paid attention to yesterday’s article, you will remember that I pointed out there were 2 games without O/Us yet, The Wolves game, where Vegas was waiting for news on D-Rose, and The Raptors game, for which there was no pending news. Magically, Lowry “hurt his back in warmup” and wound up going from doubtful to out pretty quickly. I point this out because right now James Harden is listed as Questionable (although listed “out” on DK). However, Vegas hasn’t held out on releasing a 216.5 O/U with a spread of HOU -2. You think Vegas would be accepting bets against the Rockets if there was any chance Harden wasn’t playing??? Still, he is questionable so let’s talk about it. If Harden misses, this game will almost certainly blow out, so be cautious spending your money on the expensive people. If Harden misses, everyone on the Rockets is cheap enough to play (with the possible exception of Capela). Gordon would handle a huge offensive load at only 5800. Tucker is still only 4500. Gerald Green, House, and Rivers would get a lot of run and shots up and are 3700, 3600 and 3400 respectively. Even with the prospects of a blowout, Kyrie may still be too cheap at 8400. He is priced to be facing the defense of CP3 still, which he is certainly not. I also like Horford here for 5600. Capela is a surprisingly incredibly shitty defender, and Horford should be able to get all over and around him. If Harden is in, I have a much harder time playing anyone else on the Rockets except Tucker, Rivers, and Harden. Even then, there is enough tonight I will wait to see ownership. I’m sure Harden will put up 60+DKP, but at 11300 and what should be incredibly high ownership, it might make more sense to look elsewhere in tournaments.
Well, there we go! As I said at the top, I have a twitter and something called Venmo and a Patreon now. I don’t expect anything, but a couple people asked me about setting those up, so I wanted to make sure those folks saw. I am not trying to ask for anything, and I do apologize if you find this uncouth. Let’s get rich together!! Barring any sort of family emergency, I will able to do a Good Chalk/Bad Chalk both tomorrow and Friday! I’ll see you guys there!
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